FINM6041 · Applied Derivatives
Black-Scholes-Merton & Volatility
Black-Scholes-Merton & Volatility (Lecture 6 with Workshop 6) takes the risk-neutral idea of the binomial tree to its continuous-time limit. The model assumes the stock price is lognormal — ln S_T is normally distributed — and delivers a closed-form European option price: c = S₀N(d₁) − Xe^{−rT}N(d₂), with d₁ = [ln(S₀/X) + (r + σ²/2)T]/(σ√T) and d₂ = d₁ − σ√T; the put follows from put-call parity. N(·) is the standard-normal CDF, read from the tables provided in the exam using linear interpolation and the symmetry rule N(−d) = 1 − N(d). Discrete cash dividends are handled by replacing S₀ with S₀ − PV(D). The workshop half makes σ the star: implied volatility (the σ that makes the model price equal the market price), the volatility smile, and the VIX 'fear index'.
What this chapter covers
- 01The lognormal model: ln S_T is normal, and volatility scales with √T
- 02The BSM call formula c = S₀N(d₁) − Xe^{−rT}N(d₂), and the put via parity
- 03Computing d₁ = [ln(S₀/X) + (r + σ²/2)T]/(σ√T) and d₂ = d₁ − σ√T
- 04Reading N(d₁), N(d₂) by linear interpolation; the symmetry N(−d) = 1 − N(d)
- 05Discrete cash dividends: replace S₀ with S₀ − PV(D)
- 06The eight BSM assumptions and the boundary checks that sanity-test a price
- 07Volatility: historical vs implied volatility, the volatility smile, and the VIX
European call by Black-Scholes-Merton, reading N(d) from the table
- 2 marksCompute d₁ = [ln(S₀/X) + (r + σ²/2)T]/(σ√T). Here ln(52/50) = 0.039221, (r + σ²/2)T = (0.04 + 0.03125)×0.5 = 0.035625, and σ√T = 0.25×√0.5 = 0.176777. So d₁ = (0.039221 + 0.035625)/0.176777 = 0.074846/0.176777 = 0.4234.
- 1 markCompute d₂ = d₁ − σ√T = 0.4234 − 0.176777 = 0.2466.
- 2 marksRead the normal CDF by interpolation: N(0.4234) = 0.6640 and N(0.2466) = 0.5974.
- 2 marksAssemble the call: c = S₀N(d₁) − Xe^{−rT}N(d₂) = 52×0.6640 − 50×e^{−0.02}×0.5974 = 34.528 − 29.280 = $5.25.
- 1 markPut via put-call parity, p = c − S₀ + Xe^{−rT} = 5.25 − 52 + 50×e^{−0.02} = 5.25 − 52 + 49.010 = $2.26.
Key terms
- Lognormal price
- The BSM assumption that S_T has a lognormal distribution — equivalently ln S_T is normal with mean ln S₀ + (μ − σ²/2)T and variance σ²T. It keeps prices positive and makes continuously-compounded returns normal.
- d₁ and d₂
- The two standardised inputs to BSM: d₁ = [ln(S₀/X) + (r + σ²/2)T]/(σ√T) and d₂ = d₁ − σ√T. N(d₂) is the risk-neutral probability the call finishes in-the-money.
- N(x)
- The standard-normal cumulative distribution function, supplied as a table in the exam. Values between rows are found by linear interpolation, and negatives via the symmetry N(−d) = 1 − N(d).
- Discrete-dividend adjustment
- For cash dividends with ex-dates during the option's life, replace S₀ by S₀ − PV(D) everywhere in the BSM formula; a continuous dividend yield is handled instead by S₀e^{−qT} (Lecture 7).
- Implied volatility
- The volatility σ that makes the BSM price equal the option's observed market price, solved numerically. It is forward-looking, which is why traders often quote options in volatility terms rather than dollars.
- Volatility smile / VIX
- Plotting implied volatility against strike for one expiry gives a U-shaped 'smile' — higher for deep in- and out-of-the-money options than at-the-money. The VIX is the implied volatility of S&P 500 options, popularly the market's 'fear index'.
Black-Scholes-Merton & Volatility FAQ
Does FINM6041 use Black-Scholes?
Yes. Black-Scholes-Merton pricing of European options — including the dividend, index and currency variants and Black's model for options on futures — is core examinable material. You are given the formulas and the N(x) tables on the exam formula sheet, so the skill is applying them accurately, not memorising them.
How do I read N(d₁) in the exam?
From the standard-normal tables printed on the formula sheet, using linear interpolation between rows — for example N(0.4234) is N(0.42) plus 0.34 of the gap to N(0.43). For negative arguments use N(−d) = 1 − N(d). The exam tells you to keep all decimal places until this step, then read the table.
How do dividends change the Black-Scholes formula?
For discrete cash dividends whose ex-dates fall inside the option's life, subtract their present value from the spot price — use S₀ − PV(D) in place of S₀ throughout. For a continuous dividend yield (an index, a currency, or a futures underlying) you instead use S₀e^{−qT}, which is the Lecture 7-8 extension.
Is the Black-Scholes derivation examinable?
The course emphasises intuition over derivation — understanding that a continuously re-hedged option-plus-stock portfolio must earn the risk-free rate, which leads to the formula — rather than reproducing the PDE. You should be able to state the eight assumptions, apply the formula, and run the boundary sanity-checks, but a full mathematical derivation is beyond the course's scope.
What is implied volatility and the volatility smile?
Implied volatility is the σ that makes the model price match the market price; because it is forward-looking, options are often quoted in vol terms. Plotting it against strike for a single expiry gives the volatility smile — a U-shape that is higher away from at-the-money — and the VIX is the best-known implied-volatility index, tracking S&P 500 options.
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Exam move
Make the d₁/d₂ pipeline muscle memory: write d₁ = [ln(S₀/X) + (r + σ²/2)T]/(σ√T), compute the numerator and σ√T separately, then d₂ = d₁ − σ√T, then read N(d₁) and N(d₂) by interpolation, then assemble c = S₀N(d₁) − Xe^{−rT}N(d₂) and get the put from parity. Practise the table technique explicitly — interpolate between rows and use N(−d) = 1 − N(d) — because a small slip here moves the final price. Learn the one substitution that unifies the whole options block: S₀ − PV(D) for discrete dividends, and S₀e^{−qT} for a yield, an index, a currency or a futures underlying. Finish on the conceptual layer the recap flags as examinable — the eight assumptions, and implied volatility, the smile and the VIX — since these show up as short 'explain' prompts worth easy marks.