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ECON1002 · Introductory Macroeconomics

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Chapter 9 of 12 · ECON1002

AD-AS Model & Inflation

The AD-AS model ties the short-run model to inflation. Aggregate demand slopes down in (π, Y) space because, through the policy reaction function, higher inflation prompts a higher real rate, lower spending and lower output. Aggregate supply reflects inflation inertia (πₜ depends on πₜ₋₁ plus the output gap and shocks), with a vertical LRAS at Y*. The output gap drives the change in inflation, and the model classifies the two sources of inflation — excess spending and adverse supply shocks.

It is examined as a Section-B diagram question: shift AD or AS, trace the adjustment back to Y*, and explain disinflation under credible inflation targeting.

In this chapter

What this chapter covers

  • 011. Deriving AD: higher π ⇒ (via the policy reaction function) higher r ⇒ lower PAE ⇒ lower Y (AD slopes down)
  • 022. What shifts AD: higher exogenous spending (G) right; a higher inflation target (dove) right, lower (hawk) left
  • 033. Aggregate supply & inflation inertia: πₜ = πₜ₋₁ + (output-gap effect) + shock
  • 044. SRAS vs LRAS (vertical at potential output Y*)
  • 055. Output gap drives Δπ: expansionary gap ⇒ inflation rises; contractionary ⇒ falls; no gap ⇒ unchanged
  • 066. Source 1 of inflation: excessive spending (AD right, Y > Y*, SRAS drifts up until Y = Y* at higher π)
  • 077. Source 2 of inflation: adverse supply shock (SRAS up, Y < Y* AND π up — stagflation dilemma)
  • 088. Self-correction & disinflation: economy returns to Y*; credible inflation targeting anchors expectations
Worked example · free

Excess-spending inflation and the return to potential

Q [6 marks]. Starting from long-run equilibrium at potential output Y*, the government sharply increases spending G. Using the AD-AS model, trace what happens to output and inflation (a) in the short run and (b) as the economy self-corrects in the long run, and state the long-run effect on output and inflation.
  • 2 marks(a) Higher G shifts aggregate demand to the right. Along the upward short-run aggregate supply, output rises above potential (Y > Y*) and inflation rises — an expansionary output gap opens.
  • 2 marksBecause Y > Y*, the positive output gap puts upward pressure on inflation: through inflation inertia, expected and actual inflation drift up, so short-run aggregate supply shifts up over time.
  • 1 mark(b) As SRAS drifts up, output falls back toward potential and inflation keeps rising until the gap closes at Y = Y*. The economy self-corrects to potential output but at a permanently higher inflation rate.
  • 1 markLong-run effect: output returns to Y* (no permanent output gain), while inflation is permanently higher — the classic excess-spending inflation result.
Short run: Y rises above Y* and inflation rises (expansionary gap). Long run: SRAS drifts up, output returns to Y*, and inflation is permanently higher — demand stimulus buys higher inflation, not lasting output.
Sia tip — Always finish at the vertical LRAS: in the long run output is pinned at Y*, so a demand-side shift changes only inflation, not output. The trap is stopping at the short-run point and claiming a permanent output gain — name the self-correction (SRAS drifts to close the gap) for the explanation marks.
Glossary

Key terms

Aggregate demand (AD)
The downward-sloping relationship between inflation and output in (π, Y) space. It slopes down because higher inflation triggers (via the policy reaction function) a higher real interest rate, which lowers planned spending and output. It shifts with exogenous spending and the inflation target.
Inflation inertia
The tendency of inflation to change only slowly, because expectations and contracts anchor it: πₜ = πₜ₋₁ + (output-gap effect) + shock. This stickiness is why short-run aggregate supply adjusts gradually rather than jumping.
SRAS vs LRAS
Short-run aggregate supply reflects sticky/expected inflation and shifts with shocks and expected inflation; long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) is vertical at potential output Y*, because in the long run output is determined by supply-side fundamentals, not inflation.
Output gap and Δinflation
The output gap drives the change in inflation: a positive (expansionary) gap pushes inflation up, a negative (recessionary) gap pulls it down, and a zero gap leaves inflation unchanged. This is the engine of self-correction in the model.
Demand-pull vs supply-shock inflation
Demand-pull (excess spending): AD shifts right, output rises above Y* and SRAS then drifts up until output returns to Y* at higher inflation. Supply shock: SRAS shifts up, producing the stagflation dilemma of lower output (Y < Y*) and higher inflation at once.
Disinflation & inflation targeting
Disinflation is a sustained fall in the inflation rate. A credible inflation target anchors expectations, so the central bank can lower inflation with a smaller and shorter output cost; mis-reading the LRAS (the Great Inflation) led to costly policy mistakes.
FAQ

AD-AS Model & Inflation FAQ

How is the AD-AS model examined in ECON1002?

It is the heart of Section B and of the Weeks 8-13 focus. Expect a labelled-diagram question: shift AD (e.g. higher G or a changed inflation target) or AS (a supply shock), show the short-run point and the self-correction back to potential, and explain the inflation outcome. The 2025 final used exactly this with a COVID-era shock and a disinflation scenario.

Why does aggregate demand slope downward in inflation-output space?

Through the central bank's policy reaction function. When inflation is higher, the RBA sets a higher real interest rate, which reduces consumption and investment and therefore planned aggregate expenditure and output. So higher inflation is associated with lower output — a downward-sloping AD curve in (π, Y) space, even though prices are not the direct cause.

What is the difference between demand-pull and supply-shock inflation?

Demand-pull inflation comes from excess spending: AD shifts right, output rises above potential, and SRAS then drifts up until output returns to Y* at a higher inflation rate. A supply shock shifts SRAS up directly, raising inflation while lowering output below potential at the same time — the stagflation dilemma — which is harder for policy because fixing one worsens the other.

How does the economy self-correct after a demand shock?

Via the output gap. When a positive demand shock pushes output above potential, the expansionary gap raises expected and actual inflation, shifting SRAS up. As SRAS drifts up, output falls back toward Y* and the gap closes. In the long run output is pinned at the vertical LRAS, so a demand shift changes only inflation, not output — that is the self-correction the diagram must show.

Study strategy

Exam move

Treat AD-AS as a drawing-and-narrating skill, because Section B rewards a clear, labelled diagram plus the mechanism in words. Rehearse the four standard moves until automatic: a demand shift (G or inflation target), a supply shock, the self-correction back to Y*, and disinflation. For each, narrate the chain — what shifts, the short-run output and inflation effect, why the output gap then moves SRAS, and where it ends on the vertical LRAS. Memorise the two anchors: AD slopes down because of the policy reaction function, and LRAS is vertical at Y*, so demand shocks leave long-run output unchanged. Always close at potential output and state the permanent effect (inflation, not output) — the explanation marks live in naming the self-correction.

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