University of Toronto · FACULTY OF STATISTICS

PSYB06H3 Applied Statistical Analysis for Psychology & Neuroscience

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The Complete Exam Bible · Fall 2026

PSYB06H3 Overview

Applied Statistical Analysis for Psychology & Neuroscience
— Describe data, reason with probability and test hypotheses by hand.
  • University of Toronto Scarborough
  • Fall 2026
  • Lectures and tutorials in person
  • Scientific calculator required

Statistics taught as a chain of reasoning

Applied Statistical Analysis for Psychology & Neuroscience at the University of Toronto Scarborough treats statistics as the language of science.

  • Two three-hour tests The midterm term test and the final exam are each worth 35%.
  • A strong final can help A higher final exam grade may override lower midterm, mock midterm or quiz grades.
  • Formula sheets are supplied Course formula sheets and tables are handed out at both tests.
  • Show the reasoning State hypotheses, assumptions and a decision sentence beside every calculation.
PSYB06H3 · University of Toronto
An independent, AskSia-authored study guide. AskSia is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by University of Toronto; the course code and name are used for identification only.
Assessment

How PSYB06H3 is assessed

ComponentWeightFormat
Post-lecture quizzes8%Ten online quizzes after Lectures 2 to 11; the top 8 count at 1% each
Mock midterm10%Take-home calculation and short-answer set mirroring the midterm
Written assignment10%Three-phase Results and Discussion paper completed with a partner
In-class theory prompts2%Start-of-lecture activity in Lectures 2 to 11; the top 5 count
Midterm Term test35%In-person, handwritten midterm test, three hours, Lectures 1 to 6
Final exam35%In-person, handwritten final exam, three hours, focused on Lectures 7 to 11

Weights come from the Fall 2026 syllabus grading table and total 100%. The syllabus lists the mock midterm as due October 20, while a later lecture slide says it is due Friday October 23, so check Quercus for the deadline that applies. The final exam date is listed as to be determined. Under the grade reweight rule, a higher final exam grade may override lower grades on the midterm, mock midterm or quizzes; the lecture notes add that no reweight applies to a missed written assignment. Theory prompts require minimum in-person participation, with an alternative assessment for uncontrolled conflicts.

8%10%10%2%35%35%Quizzes 8% + mock midterm 10% + assignment 10% + prompts 2%Midterm term test 35% + final exam 35% = 100%
Segment widths follow the Fall 2026 syllabus grading table; the two in-person tests together carry 70% of the course grade.
Current dates · verify in LMS

Current PSYB06H3 dates

DateItemControl
31 October 2026Midterm term testSaturday 5:00 to 8:00 pm; room is assigned by surname on Quercus.
9 November 2026Written assignment phase deadlineSecond of the three phase deadlines listed in the syllabus.
8 December 2026Written assignment final phase deadlineAlso the last date of the term shown on the syllabus.

Dates are as published in the Fall 2026 syllabus and the midterm information page. Confirm exact deadlines and submission settings in the live LMS.

Contents · every chapter, one map

What PSYB06H3 covers

Move from describing a sample to judging how surprising it would be if nothing had changed.

01

Variables, Measurement and Descriptive Statistics

Scales of measurement, study variables, central tendency, spread and frequency displays

Know what kind of number you have

Every analysis starts by classifying the data. Nominal data name categories with no order, ordinal data rank categories, interval data have equal spacing without a true zero, and ratio data add a true zero.

  • Nominal, Ordinal, Interval and Ratio Scales
  • Population Parameters and Sample Statistics
  • Independent, Dependent and Confounding Variables
  • Mean, Median and Mode
  • Variance, Standard Deviation and Sums of Squares
  • Histograms, Binning and Truncated Axes
02

Distributions, Sampling and Standard Error

Distribution shapes, outliers, the n minus 1 correction, sampling distributions and the standard error of the mean

Shape comes before the summary

A data set gathered in large numbers settles into a recognisable form.

  • Normal, Skewed and Uniform Distributions
  • Kurtosis and Outliers
  • Unbiased Means and Biased Variances
  • Degrees of Freedom
  • Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem
  • Standard Error and Expected Ranges
03

Probability Rules and Bayesian Reasoning

Joint, additive and conditional probability, independence, contingency tables and Bayes' rule

Three operations behind every question

Probability problems in this course are assembled from three moves.

  • Analytical and Empirical Probability
  • Joint Probability
  • Additive Rule and Overlap
  • Mutually Exclusive and Exhaustive Outcomes
  • Conditional Probability and Independence
  • Bayes' Rule and Contingency Tables
04

Counting Outcomes and Binomial Probability

Permutations, combinations, the binomial formula and at-least-one shortcuts

Two questions pick the counting rule

Counting problems begin by asking whether order matters and whether an item may be chosen again.

  • Permutations With and Without Repeats
  • Combinations and Factorials
  • Binomial Probability Formula
  • Exactly Versus At Least
  • Exhaustive Complement Shortcut
  • Sampling With and Without Replacement
05

The Normal Curve and z Scores

Areas under the normal curve, z table portions, ranges between scores and the z approximation to the binomial

Probability as area

For continuous data, a probability is the fraction of the area under a distribution that a region covers.

  • Area Under the Normal Curve
  • Standardising Scores With z
  • Mean to z, Larger and Smaller Portions
  • Ranges Between Two Scores
  • Finding a Score From an Area
  • Normal Approximation to the Binomial
06

Hypothesis Testing with z and One-Sample t

Null and alternative hypotheses, alpha, one and two tails, Type I and II errors, power, z tests and one-sample t tests

Start from the position of no difference

Null hypothesis significance testing begins by assuming H0, the claim that any observed difference is no larger than random noise would create. This is not pessimism.

  • Null and Alternative Hypotheses
  • Alpha and p Values
  • One-Tailed and Two-Tailed Tests
  • Type I and Type II Errors
  • Statistical Power
  • One-Sample z and t Tests
07

Independent and Paired Samples t Tests

Two-group comparisons, homogeneity of variance, pooled variance, paired differences and effect size d

Two samples, no known population

Most psychology studies know nothing about the population beyond the samples collected. The two-sample t tests handle that situation by comparing groups with each other rather than with a known mean.

  • Choosing Independent or Paired Designs
  • Hartley's F Max Check
  • Independent Samples t Statistic
  • Pooled Variance and Effect Size d
  • Paired Difference Scores
  • Deleting Incomplete or Impossible Data
08

Writing a Statistical Results Section

Preprocessing, assumption checks, reporting test statistics and figures for the phased written assignment

An assignment modelled on peer review

The written assignment asks pairs of students to play the role of scientists submitting an empirical paper.

  • Three Assignment Phases
  • Grade Brackets and Revision Marks
  • Ordering a Results Section
  • APA Statistical Reporting
  • Figures and Captions
  • Concise Revision and Flow

The Fall 2026 syllabus asks students to understand why each test works rather than memorise its equation, because the formulas are derived from foundational mathematics and logic. The comparison it uses is cooking: knowing the ingredients matters less than knowing how to adapt a recipe when the situation changes.

In practice that means every calculation should arrive with a sentence saying what the number tells you about people, brains or behaviour.

A cumulative sequence

The lectures build on each other. Describing a sample comes first, followed by how well a sample represents its population, the rules of probability, and probability distributions such as the normal and binomial curves.

Those pieces combine in hypothesis testing with z and t, then extend to comparisons of two groups using independent and paired samples t tests. After reading week the schedule moves to power, nonparametric equivalents, correlation and regression, chi squared tests, analysis of variance and an introduction to machine learning.

A gap in an early lecture therefore reappears later, which is why the course recommends catching up before the next class.

How the tests are written

Both in-person tests are handwritten and last three hours, and students bring a non-programmable, non-graphing scientific calculator. Questions mix short answers, short calculations and one long calculation built around a data set.

The course-provided formula sheets and tables are handed out, so the challenge is selecting the right procedure, carrying it out accurately and interpreting the result.

The midterm covers Lectures 1 to 6. The final exam focuses on Lectures 7 to 11 with some comprehensive overlap, so the early material keeps earning marks all term.

Using this guide

Chapters 1 to 7 follow the first six lectures in order: measurement and descriptives, sampling and standard error, probability rules, counting and binomial probability, the normal curve, hypothesis testing, and two-sample t tests.

Chapter 8 turns those results into the one-page Results section required by the written assignment. Each chapter pairs a fully worked calculation with practice whose answers follow from printed steps, and the closing chapters rehearse the midterm structure with an original data-set question.

Work with a calculator open, round to four decimal places as the course does, and finish every answer with a plain-language conclusion.

Worked example · free

Locating one score on the normal curve

Q [5 marks]. AskSia-authored practice. A standardised anxiety scale is normally distributed with μ = 50 and σ = 8. A participant scores 62. Find the z score, the proportion of people scoring higher, the proportion between the mean and 62, and the participant's percentile. The five marks are an AskSia practice allocation, not a University marking scheme.
On an anxiety scale with mean 50 and standard deviation 8, a score of 62 sits at z = 1.50; the red tail beyond it holds .0668 of people and the blue band betweeOn an anxiety scale with mean 50 and standard deviation 8, a score of 62 sits at z = 1.50; the red tail beyond it holds .0668 of people and the blue band between 50 and 62 holds .4332.5062z = 1.50.4332.0668Anxiety score
On an anxiety scale with mean 50 and standard deviation 8, a score of 62 sits at z = 1.50; the red tail beyond it holds .0668 of people and the blue band between 50 and 62 holds .4332.
  • 2Standardise the score: z = (62 − 50) / 8 = 12 / 8 = 1.50.
  • 1Read the smaller portion for z = 1.50 from the z table: .0668 of people score higher.
  • 1Read the mean-to-z column for z = 1.50: .4332 of people fall between 50 and 62.
  • 1Add .5000 below the mean to the mean-to-z area: .9332, the larger portion.
The score lies 1.50 standard deviations above the mean. Because it is above the mean, the area beyond it is the smaller portion, .0668, so about 6.68% of people score higher. The area between the mean and the score is .4332, and adding the .5000 that lies below the mean gives .9332, so the participant sits at about the 93rd percentile. The three areas check each other: .0668 + .4332 + .5000 = 1.0000.
Sia tip — Sketch the curve and shade the area first; a score above the mean always has its smaller portion in the upper tail.
Glossary

Key terms

Population Parameter
A value such as μ or σ that describes every member of the population of interest and is written with a Greek letter.
Sample Statistic
A value such as x̄ or s computed from a subset of the population and used to estimate the matching parameter.
Sum of Squares
The total of the squared deviations of each score from the mean, which forms the numerator of the variance.
Degrees of Freedom
The denominator n − 1 used for sample variance, which corrects the tendency of a sample to underestimate population variance.
Standard Error
The standard deviation of a sampling distribution of means, estimated as σ divided by the square root of n.
Central Limit Theorem
The principle that sample means form an increasingly normal distribution around μ as n grows, whatever the population's shape.
Conditional Probability
The probability of one outcome once another outcome is known to have occurred, written p(B | A).
Binomial Probability
The probability of a set number of successes across repeated independent events, combining the multiplicative and additive rules.
Standard Score
A z score that states how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean, so it can be read from the z table.
Null Hypothesis
The default claim that any observed difference is no greater than random noise would produce, which a test can only reject or fail to reject.
Type I Error
Rejecting a null hypothesis that is actually true, which happens at the alpha rate when the null holds.
Statistical Power
The probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when a true effect exists, with 0.80 treated as the minimum to aim for.
Effect Size
A standardised measure of how large a difference is, such as Cohen's d, which does not grow merely because n grows.
Pooled Variance
A weighted average of two sample variances, weighted by their degrees of freedom, used to compute d for two groups.
FAQ

PSYB06H3 FAQ

What is on the midterm and how is it structured?

The midterm test covers Lectures 1 to 6 inclusive and is worth 50 marks. Part I has three short answer questions at 5 marks each, Part II has five short calculation questions at 5 marks each, and Part III is one data set question worth 10 marks. It is handwritten over three hours, and the course formula sheets and tables are provided.

How much is the final exam worth and what does it cover?

The final exam is worth 35% of the course grade, the same as the midterm. The syllabus describes a three-hour handwritten exam that focuses on Lectures 7 to 11 with some comprehensive overlap, mixing short answer, short calculation and one long calculation question. The date was listed as to be determined, so watch Quercus for the scheduled sitting.

Can a strong final exam make up for a weak midterm?

Yes, within limits. The syllabus offers grade reweights in which a higher final exam grade may override lower grades on the midterm, the mock midterm or the quizzes. Lecture 1 notes that missing the midterm moves its weight to the final, and that no reweight is applied for a missed written assignment, so the paper still has to be submitted.

Can I bring my own formula sheet to a test?

You may bring one single-sided, printed 8.5 by 11 inch sheet carrying only formulas, with your name and student number. It cannot contain definitions, test steps, mnemonics or pre-calculated examples. The instructor vets it in office hours on the day of the test and returns it to you at the sitting; an unvetted sheet counts as an unauthorized aid. The official sheets are still provided.

How is the written assignment graded?

The assignment rewards effort and improvement across three phases completed with a partner. An initial submission falls into one of four brackets worth 0, 4, 6 and 10 marks, and a best-effort first draft usually earns 6. The revised submission can add the remaining marks, so a paper that addresses every reviewer comment can still reach full marks.

Which calculator and software are allowed?

Bring a name-brand scientific calculator without internal storage, programming or graphing functions; calculators are not lent on the day. Graded quizzes and tests must be completed without statistical or spreadsheet software. The only exception is the written assignment, which uses JASP or Excel for the analysis and Microsoft Word for the document.

How many decimal places should answers keep?

Round every value to four decimal places unless a question says otherwise; the lecture notes, tutorials and quiz keys all use this convention. Carry full precision through intermediate steps and round at the end. When a probability is converted into a count of people, the Lecture 4 notes round the number of people up rather than down.

Chapter questions

Questions students ask in each PSYB06H3 chapter

Why is the mean called the least squared distance value?
The mean is the single point that minimises the sum of squared distances to every score, so it sits as close as possible to all of the data at once. That is why it treats every score equally, and also why a single extreme score can pull it further than it pulls the median. Chapter 01 · Variables, Measurement and Descriptive Statistics
Why does the standard error fall as the sample grows?
The standard error divides σ by the square root of n, so larger samples produce means that cluster more tightly around μ. Intuitively, a mean built from many scores lets high and low values offset each other. Because of the square root, quadrupling the sample is needed to halve the error. Chapter 02 · Distributions, Sampling and Standard Error
How can I tell an AND question from a GIVEN question?
An AND question treats both outcomes as unknown and asks how often they occur together, so it divides by everyone. A GIVEN question tells you one outcome has already happened, so it divides only by that group. Rewording the question as a fraction of a specific group usually reveals which one is meant. Chapter 03 · Probability Rules and Bayesian Reasoning
How do I decide between a permutation and a combination?
Ask whether swapping two selected items creates a different outcome. If assigning the same people to different named roles counts as a new result, order matters and a permutation applies. If only the membership of the group matters, use a combination, which divides out the orderings of the chosen items. Chapter 04 · Counting Outcomes and Binomial Probability
Why can I not find the probability of one exact score on the normal curve?
A single point on a continuous scale has no width, so the area above it is zero and the table has nothing to report. Questions are therefore framed as ranges: above a score, below it or between two scores. A binomial count is different because each discrete outcome has a bar with width. Chapter 05 · The Normal Curve and z Scores
Why can a study never accept the null hypothesis?
Testing assumes the null from the outset and only measures how surprising the data would be under it. A non-significant result may come from insufficient power or a poor design rather than a true absence of effect. The defensible decision is to fail to reject, and any claim that the null is likely true has to be argued separately. Chapter 06 · Hypothesis Testing with z and One-Sample t
How do I decide between an independent and a paired t test?
Ask who produced each score. If every participant appears in only one condition, the groups are independent. If each participant, or each matched pair, contributes one score to both conditions, the design is paired and the analysis uses difference scores. Group sizes are a clue too: paired data always have equal counts once incomplete pairs are removed. Chapter 07 · Independent and Paired Samples t Tests
Will mistakes in my first draft cost me marks?
Mistakes are expected in the first submission. When reviewers judge that a best effort was made, the initial grade is usually 6 out of 10, and the revision can add up to 4 more. Papers that look rushed, omit key statistics or ignore the instructions risk the 4 or 0 brackets instead. Chapter 08 · Writing a Statistical Results Section
Study strategy

How to study for the exam

Revise in lecture order, because each topic assumes the previous one. For every lecture, rebuild one calculation from a blank page with only the course formula sheet beside you, then explain the result in one plain sentence. Practise reading the z and t tables until locating the mean-to-z, larger and smaller portions or a critical t takes seconds.

When a practice answer is wrong, label the fault as the procedure chosen, a formula input, the arithmetic, the table lookup or the interpretation; the label tells you what to drill next. Sit the mock midterm under test conditions, closed book with a calculator, as the course recommends, and time each part against the midterm's mark split.

Keep the written assignment moving alongside calculation practice, since its Results section uses the same tests in the format researchers read. In the final week, prioritise hypothesis testing and two-sample t tests, which combine every earlier skill in a single question.

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