UNSW Sydney · FACULTY OF FINANCE

RISK5002 Chap.2 Planning and Running a Risk Assessment

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Chapter 2 of 10 · RISK5002

Planning and Running a Risk Assessment

IEC 31010:2019 is the toolbox that sits behind ISO 31000. Published jointly by the IEC and ISO, it explains how to implement a risk assessment, how to select techniques, how the techniques are categorised in Annex A, and how each technique works under five headings in Annex B.

This chapter follows the assessment in order: the six planning steps of Section 6.1, identification and its difficulties, analysis of consequence, likelihood and interactions, evaluation against criteria with its five possible outcomes, and reporting suited to each audience. It closes with the comparison between COSO 2017 and ISO 31000:2018 that the lecture draws, so you can explain when each framework suits an organisation.

The planning steps matter because they fix what the assessment is for before any data appear, which protects the result from being steered afterwards. The chapter shows each step with a council e-scooter decision, explains why identification is hard and how analysts guard against blind spots, and maps the technique families onto the stages so you can justify a choice of tool.

The comparison with COSO then gives you the vocabulary to discuss which framework suits a listed company, a council or a hospital.

In this chapter

What this chapter covers

  • 01

    IEC 31010 sections and annexes

  • 02

    Six planning steps before assessment

  • 03

    Technique families in Table A.3

  • 04

    Analysis of consequence and likelihood

  • 05

    Five evaluation outcomes

  • 06

    COSO 2017 compared with ISO 31000

Worked example · free

Match four techniques to their assessment stage

Q [4 marks]. Place HAZOP, Monte Carlo simulation, an F-N diagram and cost/benefit analysis on the stage map of a risk assessment and name each one's IEC 31010 family. This weighting is ours for practice and is not the official marking scheme.
The assessment runs left to right from planning to reporting, and each IEC 31010 technique family hangs below the stage it mainly serves, so identification drawThe assessment runs left to right from planning to reporting, and each IEC 31010 technique family hangs below the stage it mainly serves, so identification draws on families B1 to B3 while evaluation draws on significance and option-selection tools.Plan the assessmentIdentify riskAnalyse riskEvaluate riskReportB1 elicit viewsB2 identify riskB3 causes, driversB5 likelihood,consequenceB7 measure riskB8 significanceB9 select options
The assessment runs left to right from planning to reporting, and each IEC 31010 technique family hangs below the stage it mainly serves, so identification draws on families B1 to B3 while evaluation draws on significance and option-selection tools.
  • +1HAZOP: identification, family B2 techniques for identifying risk.
  • +1Monte Carlo simulation: analysis, family B5 techniques for consequence and likelihood.
  • +1F-N diagram: evaluation, family B8 techniques for the significance of risk.
  • +1Cost/benefit analysis: evaluation and treatment choice, family B9 techniques for selecting between options.
HAZOP identifies, Monte Carlo analyses, an F-N diagram evaluates significance, and cost/benefit analysis selects between options. Naming the family as well as the stage shows the marker you know where each tool sits in the standard.
Sia tip — When a technique could serve two stages, name the stage the question is about before choosing; scenario analysis, for instance, both identifies and explores consequences.
Glossary

Key terms

IEC 31010
The joint IEC and ISO standard that guides the selection and use of risk assessment techniques.
Risk evaluation
Comparison of analysed risk with criteria to decide whether further action is needed.
COSO ERM
The US framework linking enterprise risk management with strategy and performance.
Societal risk
The risk of multiple injuries or fatalities from a single event.
Risk report
The document that sets out an assessment's scope, methods, uncertainties, criteria and outcomes.
FAQ

Planning and Running a Risk Assessment FAQ

What are the six steps for planning a risk assessment?

IEC 31010 Section 6.1 asks you to define the purpose and scope, understand the context, engage stakeholders, define the objectives of the system assessed, consider human, organisational and social factors, and review the criteria for decisions before the assessment begins.

What outcomes can risk evaluation lead to?

Evaluation can conclude that nothing further is needed, that treatment options should be considered, that more analysis is required, that existing controls should be maintained, or that objectives should be reconsidered. The result should then be recorded, communicated and validated.

How does COSO 2017 differ from ISO 31000?

COSO runs over 100 pages, is US focused and leans towards financial reporting and audit, with stronger guidance on risk appetite. ISO 31000 is 16 pages, international, high level and sector neutral. Both offer a common language and embed risk management in decisions.

Why is risk identification considered the hardest stage?

People struggle to imagine events they have never experienced, uncertainty grows with long time frames, and nobody can list an issue they are unaware of. The lecture's response is to identify systematically, involve stakeholders with different knowledge, and build a way to capture emerging risks, because a risk that is never identified cannot be managed at all.

Study strategy

Exam move

Draw the stage map and hang one technique from each family beneath it until you can do it in two minutes. Then take any proposal in the news, such as a new transport scheme, and write the six planning steps for it with one concrete example each. Finish by writing a five-row COSO versus ISO table from memory and one sentence on when you would recommend each framework.

When you revise reporting, list the items a risk assessment report should contain, from scope and assumptions to criteria and outcomes, and practise adjusting the language for a board, a regulator and an operations team.

Working through Planning and Running a Risk Assessment in RISK5002? Sia is AskSia’s AI Finance tutor — ask any RISK5002 Planning and Running a Risk Assessment question and get a clear, step-by-step explanation grounded in how RISK5002 is taught and assessed. Read this chapter free, then take your hardest questions to Sia.

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